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Putin’s interference in our election clearly backfired - NATO - AEI
With his interference in the 2016 election, Russian President Vladimir Putin hoped he could tilt Washington onto a more pro-Moscow course. But after President Trump signed legislation tightening...
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The European left: unfit to govern - NATO - AEI
Many are horrified by the ascent of protectionist, isolationist, and nativist ideas on the political right – and rightly so. Fewer have noticed, however, that developments on the political left also...
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Beware of the ‘West’ - NATO - AEI
On September 14 Russia will begin what is likely to be its largest post-Cold War military exercise. Zapad (or West) will take place across the Belarusian border with NATO members Latvia, Lithuania, and...
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Why Ukraine matters - NATO - AEI
How did the conflict start? Russian President Vladimir Putin invaded eastern Ukraine and seized Crimea in early 2014 in response to the ouster of Kremlin-backed President Viktor Yanukovych, whose...
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Belarus’ Susceptibility to Russian Intervention - NATO - AEI
Key Points Russia’s overriding geostrategic goal in Belarus is to keep a stable, relatively pro-Russian regime in power. Therefore, the chances of a Russian military intervention in Belarus are low for...
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Saving the “Fraternal State”? Ideology and Possible Venues of Russian...
Key Points Russian President Vladimir Putin has long thought of Belarus as a critical part of the broader “Russian world” and privileged sphere of influence. While the Zapad military drills could...
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Could ‘Zapad’ be a Trojan horse? - NATO - AEI
Over the past several months, Western defense ministries and militaries have expressed anxiety over the large-scale Russian military exercise known as “Zapad,” or “West,” slated to begin in...
View ArticleA New Strategic Concept for NATO? - NATO - AEI
Key Points The 2010 Strategic Concept is NATO’s authoritative strategic document, describing the goals, challenges, and means for the alliance to meet its security requirements. Given the changed...
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The case for a new strategic concept for NATO - NATO - AEI
In about 18 months’ time, NATO will celebrate the 70th anniversary of its founding, a milestone sure to occasion retrospectives about the key role the alliance has played in maintaining the peace and...
View ArticleThe Kremlin Emboldened - NATO - AEI
Two years ago, leading Russian political sociologist Kirill Rogov made an intriguing observation about Vladimir Putin’s support. He noticed that while Putin’s approval ratings over the previous fifteen...
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The United States should welcome PESCO, and encourage Europe to do more -...
It is sometimes said that President Trump’s irreverent attitude toward NATO has rendered Europeans a service by highlighting that the continent’s 70-year holiday from history, safely under the United...
View ArticleThrough a Glass Darkly: Three Scenarios for Russian Aggression in Ukraine -...
Key Points The conflict in Ukraine remains an interstate war, though its relatively stable front line is beset by recurrent cycles of escalation. Russia’s overarching objective remains keeping Ukraine...
View ArticleRussian Hostile Action Against Estonia: Military Options - NATO - AEI
Key Points Russia’s past aggression toward states along its periphery calls into question what action it might take against Estonia. This report considers three possible scenarios for military...
View ArticleEstonia: Potential Vulnerabilities amid Progress - NATO - AEI
Key Points All three Baltic States have been consistently targeted by Moscow’s compatriot policies, information warfare, and various forms of military intimidation. There is an ever-present risk that...
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If America wants strong European allies, let them find their own path - NATO...
European defense is on the move. Over the summer, the European Commission announced a modest European defense fund to support both defense research and development as well as initial steps in...
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German defenses: taking a back seat - NATO - AEI
With the UK’s decision to leave the European Union and with two successive American administrations showing little taste for prioritizing transatlantic relations, Europeans have talked quite a bit...
View ArticleAvenues of Russian Political Intervention in Moldova - NATO - AEI
Key Points Corruption and hyper-politicization of nominally independent government bodies provide avenues for Russian interference in Moldovan domestic politics. The election of pro-Russian President...
View ArticleAvenues of Russian Military Intervention in Moldova - NATO - AEI
Key Points Given Moldova’s complicated history, divided identity, and meager defense capabilities, the country is extremely vulnerable to Russian intervention. The Russian-supported separatist enclave...
View ArticleMitigating Nonmilitary Vulnerabilities of Latvia - NATO - AEI
Key Points Russia could use the large number of ethnic Russians and Russian speakers living in Latvia to justify either covert or more overt destabilization of Latvian politics. However, linguistic and...
View ArticleIt’s time for the world’s democracies to stand up for what they believe in -...
Experts often refer to the erosion of democracy and democratic norms since 2005 as a “recession.” But, in fact, we are facing a global democratic depression that will ultimately disrupt international...
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